海湾多国联合谴责伊朗，沙特阿联酋或加入美以军事行动

中东局势正在发生深刻转变。科威特、沙特、阿联酋、巴林、卡塔尔和约旦六国于近日发表联合声明，将伊朗的导弹与无人机袭击定性为侵犯主权的行为，并明确宣示这些国家拥有自卫的固有权利。这是海湾阿拉伯国家自美以伊冲突爆发以来立场最为清晰的一次集体表态，意味着地区格局正在加速重塑。

与声明同步推进的，是各国在行动层面的实质性转变。沙特已悄然同意向美军开放法赫德国王空军基地的使用权。此前沙特曾多次声称绝不允许本国设施被用于对伊行动，但在伊朗对沙特能源设施及首都利雅得发动导弹袭击后，这一立场发生了根本性逆转。沙特外长明确警告，沙特对伊朗袭击的容忍并非没有边界。有消息称，王储穆罕默德·本-萨勒曼正将此次冲突视为一个"历史性机遇"，力主彻底削弱伊朗的导弹与巡航导弹体系。

阿联酋动手打压伊朗资产

阿联酋选择了另一条路径——以经济和金融手段向伊朗施压。当局已关闭设于迪拜的伊朗医院与伊朗俱乐部，并威胁冻结伊朗在其境内持有的数十亿美元资产。这一举动意义重大：长期以来，阿联酋一直是伊朗企业和个人获取贸易融资、接入全球金融网络的关键通道。一旦这一渠道被切断，将对德黑兰的外汇储备和国际贸易能力造成严重打击。

与此同时，越来越多的迹象显示，海湾国家正在实质性地为美国的军事行动提供后勤支撑。有视频显示，部分攻击伊朗的陆基导弹从巴林境内发射；美国也证实，多架空军加油机在沙特苏丹王子空军基地遭伊朗导弹损毁，间接证明该基地已被纳入对伊作战体系。

介入还是观望？海湾国家的两难困境

然而，正式"参战"对海湾国家而言仍是一个高风险选项。伊朗已发出威胁，若阿联酋允许美军借道发动类似夺取哈尔克岛的行动，将对其实施"猛烈攻击"。分析人士普遍认为，海湾国家全面介入的临界点很可能是伊朗对其电力或供水等核心基础设施发动袭击。在此之前，他们将维持一种"有限支持、保留余地"的微妙平衡。

土耳其已介入外交斡旋，敦促海湾各国保持克制，避免冲突进一步扩大。而中国方面也呼吁各方立即停火，强调战火外溢已对整个地区乃至全球的和平稳定构成严重冲击。

值得警惕的是，美国中东研究所的分析人士指出，特朗普政府对海湾盟友的承诺存在较大不确定性——华盛顿在伊朗核问题谈判中是否会将海湾国家的安全利益列为优先议题，目前尚无保证。这意味着，即便海湾国家承担了实质性的参战风险，也未必能换来相应的战后保障。

总体而言，海湾国家正处于一个关键的战略抉择窗口：伊朗的持续挑衅推动其倒向美以一侧，而全面参战的代价与特朗普政府的不确定性又令其顾虑重重。这场地区博弈的走向，将在很大程度上决定中东新秩序的基本轮廓。

Gulf States Unite Against Iran: Saudi Arabia and UAE May Join US-Israel Military Operations

A profound shift is underway in the Middle East. Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and Jordan recently issued a joint statement condemning Iran's missile and drone strikes as violations of their sovereignty, explicitly asserting their inherent right to self-defense. It marks the clearest collective stance Gulf Arab states have taken since the US-Israel-Iran conflict erupted, signaling an accelerating realignment of the regional order.

Alongside the declaration, tangible actions are following suit. Saudi Arabia has quietly agreed to grant US forces access to King Fahd Air Base — a sharp reversal from Riyadh's repeated earlier assurances that its facilities would never be used for operations against Iran. That position collapsed after Iranian missiles targeted Saudi energy infrastructure and the capital Riyadh. The Saudi foreign minister issued a stark warning that the kingdom's tolerance for Iranian attacks has its limits. According to sources familiar with the matter, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman now views the conflict as a "historic opportunity" to permanently degrade Iran's ballistic and cruise missile capabilities.

The UAE Moves to Squeeze Iranian Assets

The UAE has chosen a parallel track — applying economic and financial pressure on Tehran. Authorities have shut down the Iranian hospital and Iranian club in Dubai, and have threatened to freeze billions of dollars in Iranian assets held within the country. The stakes are considerable: for years, the UAE served as the primary gateway through which Iranian businesses and individuals accessed trade financing and global financial networks. Severing that channel would significantly constrain Tehran's access to foreign exchange and its ability to participate in international trade.

Meanwhile, mounting evidence suggests Gulf states are already providing material logistical support for US military operations. Verified footage shows that some ground-launched missiles used against Iran were fired from Bahraini territory. The US has also confirmed that several Air Force refueling tankers were damaged by Iranian missiles at Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base — implicitly acknowledging that the base is being used in operations against Iran.

To Intervene or to Wait? The Gulf's Strategic Dilemma

Yet formally entering the war remains a high-risk proposition for Gulf states. Iran has explicitly threatened to launch a "ferocious attack" on the UAE if Abu Dhabi allows US forces to use its bases for operations such as the seizure of Kharg Island. Analysts widely believe that the threshold for full Gulf intervention would most likely be an Iranian strike on critical civilian infrastructure — power grids or water supplies. Until then, these countries are likely to maintain a delicate balance of limited support while preserving deniability.

Turkey has stepped up diplomatic efforts to urge Gulf states toward restraint, seeking to prevent further escalation. China has similarly called for an immediate ceasefire, warning that the spillover effects of the conflict pose a serious threat to regional and global stability.

One critical uncertainty looms large: analysts at the Middle East Institute caution that the Trump administration's commitment to its Gulf partners is far from guaranteed. There is no assurance that Washington will prioritize Gulf security interests in any eventual negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program — meaning these states may absorb the real costs of supporting US operations without receiving corresponding postwar guarantees.

In sum, Gulf states find themselves at a pivotal strategic crossroads: Iran's persistent aggression is pushing them toward alignment with the US and Israel, while the full costs of open belligerency — and deep uncertainty about Trump's reliability as an ally — give them serious pause. How this dilemma is resolved will go a long way toward defining the contours of a new Middle Eastern order.